Corporate Travel (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8.51

1C6 Stock   8.35  0.10  1.18%   
Corporate Travel's future price is the expected price of Corporate Travel instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Corporate Travel Management performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Corporate Travel Backtesting, Corporate Travel Valuation, Corporate Travel Correlation, Corporate Travel Hype Analysis, Corporate Travel Volatility, Corporate Travel History as well as Corporate Travel Performance.
  
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Corporate Travel Target Price Odds to finish below 8.51

The tendency of Corporate Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  8.51  after 90 days
 8.35 90 days 8.51 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Corporate Travel to stay under  8.51  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Corporate Travel Management probability density function shows the probability of Corporate Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Corporate Travel Man price to stay between its current price of  8.35  and  8.51  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.19 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.07 . This suggests Corporate Travel Management market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Corporate Travel is expected to follow. Additionally Corporate Travel Management has an alpha of 0.3091, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Corporate Travel Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Corporate Travel

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Corporate Travel Man. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Corporate Travel's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.098.4511.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.386.7410.10
Details

Corporate Travel Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Corporate Travel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Corporate Travel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Corporate Travel Management, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Corporate Travel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.31
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.07
σ
Overall volatility
0.51
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Corporate Travel Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Corporate Travel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Corporate Travel Man can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Corporate Travel Man had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Corporate Travel Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Corporate Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Corporate Travel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Corporate Travel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.0175

Corporate Travel Technical Analysis

Corporate Travel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Corporate Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Corporate Travel Management. In general, you should focus on analyzing Corporate Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Corporate Travel Predictive Forecast Models

Corporate Travel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Corporate Travel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Corporate Travel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Corporate Travel Man

Checking the ongoing alerts about Corporate Travel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Corporate Travel Man help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Corporate Travel Man had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Additional Tools for Corporate Stock Analysis

When running Corporate Travel's price analysis, check to measure Corporate Travel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Corporate Travel is operating at the current time. Most of Corporate Travel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Corporate Travel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Corporate Travel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Corporate Travel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.