ACCSYS TECHPLC (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.46
| 1D8 Stock | EUR 0.52 0.02 4.00% |
ACCSYS |
ACCSYS TECHPLC Target Price Odds to finish below 0.46
The tendency of ACCSYS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 0.46 or more in 90 days |
| 0.52 | 90 days | 0.46 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ACCSYS TECHPLC to drop to € 0.46 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This ACCSYS TECHPLC EO probability density function shows the probability of ACCSYS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ACCSYS TECHPLC EO price to stay between € 0.46 and its current price of €0.52 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon ACCSYS TECHPLC has a beta of 0.0338. This suggests as returns on the market go up, ACCSYS TECHPLC average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ACCSYS TECHPLC EO will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ACCSYS TECHPLC EO has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. ACCSYS TECHPLC Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ACCSYS TECHPLC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ACCSYS TECHPLC EO. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ACCSYS TECHPLC Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ACCSYS TECHPLC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ACCSYS TECHPLC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ACCSYS TECHPLC EO, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ACCSYS TECHPLC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
ACCSYS TECHPLC Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ACCSYS TECHPLC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ACCSYS TECHPLC EO can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ACCSYS TECHPLC EO generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| ACCSYS TECHPLC EO has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| ACCSYS TECHPLC EO has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 123.5 M. Net Loss for the year was (911 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 36 M. | |
| About 33.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
ACCSYS TECHPLC Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ACCSYS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ACCSYS TECHPLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ACCSYS TECHPLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Shares Float | 156.8 M |
ACCSYS TECHPLC Technical Analysis
ACCSYS TECHPLC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ACCSYS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ACCSYS TECHPLC EO. In general, you should focus on analyzing ACCSYS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ACCSYS TECHPLC Predictive Forecast Models
ACCSYS TECHPLC's time-series forecasting models is one of many ACCSYS TECHPLC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ACCSYS TECHPLC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ACCSYS TECHPLC EO
Checking the ongoing alerts about ACCSYS TECHPLC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ACCSYS TECHPLC EO help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ACCSYS TECHPLC EO generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| ACCSYS TECHPLC EO has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| ACCSYS TECHPLC EO has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 123.5 M. Net Loss for the year was (911 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 36 M. | |
| About 33.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in ACCSYS Stock
ACCSYS TECHPLC financial ratios help investors to determine whether ACCSYS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ACCSYS with respect to the benefits of owning ACCSYS TECHPLC security.