ThaiDEX SET (Thailand) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 11.63

1DIV Etf  THB 10.89  0.10  0.93%   
ThaiDEX SET's future price is the expected price of ThaiDEX SET instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ThaiDEX SET High performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ThaiDEX SET Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, ThaiDEX SET Correlation, ThaiDEX SET Hype Analysis, ThaiDEX SET Volatility, ThaiDEX SET History as well as ThaiDEX SET Performance.
  
Please specify ThaiDEX SET's target price for which you would like ThaiDEX SET odds to be computed.

ThaiDEX SET Target Price Odds to finish over 11.63

The tendency of ThaiDEX Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  11.63  or more in 90 days
 10.89 90 days 11.63 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ThaiDEX SET to move over  11.63  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This ThaiDEX SET High probability density function shows the probability of ThaiDEX Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ThaiDEX SET High price to stay between its current price of  10.89  and  11.63  at the end of the 90-day period is about 44.27 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ThaiDEX SET has a beta of 0.0151. This suggests as returns on the market go up, ThaiDEX SET average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ThaiDEX SET High will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ThaiDEX SET High has an alpha of 0.0969, implying that it can generate a 0.0969 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ThaiDEX SET Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ThaiDEX SET

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ThaiDEX SET High. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.9510.7911.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.7111.7912.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.0310.8711.72
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.6910.7610.82
Details

ThaiDEX SET Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ThaiDEX SET is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ThaiDEX SET's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ThaiDEX SET High, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ThaiDEX SET within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.31
Ir
Information ratio -0.0013

ThaiDEX SET Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ThaiDEX SET for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ThaiDEX SET High can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 94.07% of its total net assets in equities

ThaiDEX SET Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ThaiDEX Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ThaiDEX SET's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ThaiDEX SET's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day45.17k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month26.05k

ThaiDEX SET Technical Analysis

ThaiDEX SET's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ThaiDEX Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ThaiDEX SET High. In general, you should focus on analyzing ThaiDEX Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ThaiDEX SET Predictive Forecast Models

ThaiDEX SET's time-series forecasting models is one of many ThaiDEX SET's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ThaiDEX SET's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ThaiDEX SET High

Checking the ongoing alerts about ThaiDEX SET for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ThaiDEX SET High help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 94.07% of its total net assets in equities

Other Information on Investing in ThaiDEX Etf

ThaiDEX SET financial ratios help investors to determine whether ThaiDEX Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ThaiDEX with respect to the benefits of owning ThaiDEX SET security.