Hyatt Hotels (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 144.31
| 1HTA Stock | EUR 149.40 1.15 0.78% |
Hyatt |
Hyatt Hotels Target Price Odds to finish below 144.31
The tendency of Hyatt Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 144.31 or more in 90 days |
| 149.40 | 90 days | 144.31 | about 87.34 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hyatt Hotels to drop to € 144.31 or more in 90 days from now is about 87.34 (This Hyatt Hotels probability density function shows the probability of Hyatt Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hyatt Hotels price to stay between € 144.31 and its current price of €149.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.69 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hyatt Hotels has a beta of 0.11. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Hyatt Hotels average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hyatt Hotels will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Hyatt Hotels has an alpha of 0.1956, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Hyatt Hotels Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Hyatt Hotels
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hyatt Hotels. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hyatt Hotels Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hyatt Hotels is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hyatt Hotels' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hyatt Hotels, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hyatt Hotels within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.40 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Hyatt Hotels Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hyatt Hotels for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hyatt Hotels can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company has €2.45 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Hyatt Hotels Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hyatt Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hyatt Hotels' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hyatt Hotels' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 106.4 M |
Hyatt Hotels Technical Analysis
Hyatt Hotels' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hyatt Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hyatt Hotels. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hyatt Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hyatt Hotels Predictive Forecast Models
Hyatt Hotels' time-series forecasting models is one of many Hyatt Hotels' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hyatt Hotels' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hyatt Hotels
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hyatt Hotels for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hyatt Hotels help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company has €2.45 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Hyatt Stock
When determining whether Hyatt Hotels offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Hyatt Hotels' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Hyatt Hotels Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Hyatt Hotels Stock:Check out Hyatt Hotels Backtesting, Hyatt Hotels Valuation, Hyatt Hotels Correlation, Hyatt Hotels Hype Analysis, Hyatt Hotels Volatility, Hyatt Hotels History as well as Hyatt Hotels Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Hyatt Stock please use our How to Invest in Hyatt Hotels guide.You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.