J JILL (Germany) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 20.76
| 1MJ1 Stock | EUR 24.00 1.00 4.35% |
1MJ1 |
J JILL Target Price Odds to finish below 20.76
The tendency of 1MJ1 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 20.76 or more in 90 days |
| 24.00 | 90 days | 20.76 | about 13.49 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of J JILL to drop to € 20.76 or more in 90 days from now is about 13.49 (This J JILL INC probability density function shows the probability of 1MJ1 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of J JILL INC price to stay between € 20.76 and its current price of €24.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 40.58 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon J JILL has a beta of 0.52. This suggests as returns on the market go up, J JILL average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding J JILL INC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally J JILL INC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. J JILL Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for J JILL
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as J JILL INC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.J JILL Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. J JILL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the J JILL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold J JILL INC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of J JILL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.36 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.52 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.69 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
J JILL Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of J JILL for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for J JILL INC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| J JILL INC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| J JILL INC has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| J JILL INC has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| J JILL INC has accumulated 459.65 M in total debt. J JILL INC has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist J JILL until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, J JILL's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like J JILL INC sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for 1MJ1 to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about J JILL's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 612.77 M. Net Loss for the year was (139.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 394.44 M. | |
| J JILL INC has accumulated about 4.41 M in cash with (34.81 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.45. | |
| Over 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
J JILL Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 1MJ1 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential J JILL's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. J JILL's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Shares Float | 4.4 M |
J JILL Technical Analysis
J JILL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 1MJ1 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of J JILL INC. In general, you should focus on analyzing 1MJ1 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
J JILL Predictive Forecast Models
J JILL's time-series forecasting models is one of many J JILL's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary J JILL's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about J JILL INC
Checking the ongoing alerts about J JILL for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for J JILL INC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| J JILL INC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| J JILL INC has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| J JILL INC has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| J JILL INC has accumulated 459.65 M in total debt. J JILL INC has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist J JILL until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, J JILL's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like J JILL INC sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for 1MJ1 to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about J JILL's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 612.77 M. Net Loss for the year was (139.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 394.44 M. | |
| J JILL INC has accumulated about 4.41 M in cash with (34.81 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.45. | |
| Over 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Other Information on Investing in 1MJ1 Stock
J JILL financial ratios help investors to determine whether 1MJ1 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 1MJ1 with respect to the benefits of owning J JILL security.