NORW CRS (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 25.33

1NC Stock  EUR 25.41  0.45  1.74%   
NORW CRS's future price is the expected price of NORW CRS instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of NORW CRS LINE performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out NORW CRS Backtesting, NORW CRS Valuation, NORW CRS Correlation, NORW CRS Hype Analysis, NORW CRS Volatility, NORW CRS History as well as NORW CRS Performance.
  
Please specify NORW CRS's target price for which you would like NORW CRS odds to be computed.

NORW CRS Target Price Odds to finish below 25.33

The tendency of NORW Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 25.33  or more in 90 days
 25.41 90 days 25.33 
about 89.3
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NORW CRS to drop to € 25.33  or more in 90 days from now is about 89.3 (This NORW CRS LINE probability density function shows the probability of NORW Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NORW CRS LINE price to stay between € 25.33  and its current price of €25.41 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.05 . This suggests NORW CRS LINE market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, NORW CRS is expected to follow. Additionally NORW CRS LINE has an alpha of 0.5908, implying that it can generate a 0.59 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   NORW CRS Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for NORW CRS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NORW CRS LINE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.3725.4128.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.8220.8627.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
22.3325.3628.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.1425.2826.41
Details

NORW CRS Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NORW CRS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NORW CRS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NORW CRS LINE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NORW CRS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.59
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.05
σ
Overall volatility
3.50
Ir
Information ratio 0.20

NORW CRS Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NORW CRS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NORW CRS LINE can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NORW CRS LINE appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
NORW CRS LINE has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 647.99 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.51 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
NORW CRS generates negative cash flow from operations

NORW CRS Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NORW Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NORW CRS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NORW CRS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding416.9 M
Short Long Term Debt876.9 M

NORW CRS Technical Analysis

NORW CRS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NORW Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NORW CRS LINE. In general, you should focus on analyzing NORW Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

NORW CRS Predictive Forecast Models

NORW CRS's time-series forecasting models is one of many NORW CRS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NORW CRS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about NORW CRS LINE

Checking the ongoing alerts about NORW CRS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NORW CRS LINE help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NORW CRS LINE appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
NORW CRS LINE has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 647.99 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.51 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
NORW CRS generates negative cash flow from operations

Additional Tools for NORW Stock Analysis

When running NORW CRS's price analysis, check to measure NORW CRS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NORW CRS is operating at the current time. Most of NORW CRS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NORW CRS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NORW CRS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NORW CRS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.