First Tin (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.45

1SN Stock   5.45  0.05  0.93%   
First Tin's future price is the expected price of First Tin instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of First Tin PLC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out First Tin Backtesting, First Tin Valuation, First Tin Correlation, First Tin Hype Analysis, First Tin Volatility, First Tin History as well as First Tin Performance.
  
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First Tin Target Price Odds to finish over 5.45

The tendency of First Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 5.45 90 days 5.45 
more than 94.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Tin to move above the current price in 90 days from now is more than 94.0 (This First Tin PLC probability density function shows the probability of First Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon First Tin has a beta of 0.12. This suggests as returns on the market go up, First Tin average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding First Tin PLC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally First Tin PLC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   First Tin Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Tin

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Tin PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.695.458.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.224.987.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.735.498.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.135.395.66
Details

First Tin Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Tin is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Tin's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Tin PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Tin within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.28
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.73
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

First Tin Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Tin for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Tin PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
First Tin PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Net Loss for the year was (2.36 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
First Tin generates negative cash flow from operations
About 50.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: First Tin Plc CEO Increases Stake Amid Growth Ambitions - TipRanks

First Tin Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of First Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential First Tin's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Tin's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding265.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.7 M

First Tin Technical Analysis

First Tin's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. First Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of First Tin PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing First Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

First Tin Predictive Forecast Models

First Tin's time-series forecasting models is one of many First Tin's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary First Tin's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about First Tin PLC

Checking the ongoing alerts about First Tin for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for First Tin PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
First Tin PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Net Loss for the year was (2.36 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
First Tin generates negative cash flow from operations
About 50.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: First Tin Plc CEO Increases Stake Amid Growth Ambitions - TipRanks

Other Information on Investing in First Stock

First Tin financial ratios help investors to determine whether First Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in First with respect to the benefits of owning First Tin security.