Santacruz Silver (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.28

1SZ Stock  EUR 0.19  0.01  5.56%   
Santacruz Silver's future price is the expected price of Santacruz Silver instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Santacruz Silver Mining performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Santacruz Silver Backtesting, Santacruz Silver Valuation, Santacruz Silver Correlation, Santacruz Silver Hype Analysis, Santacruz Silver Volatility, Santacruz Silver History as well as Santacruz Silver Performance.
  
Please specify Santacruz Silver's target price for which you would like Santacruz Silver odds to be computed.

Santacruz Silver Target Price Odds to finish below 0.28

The tendency of Santacruz Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under € 0.28  after 90 days
 0.19 90 days 0.28 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Santacruz Silver to stay under € 0.28  after 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Santacruz Silver Mining probability density function shows the probability of Santacruz Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Santacruz Silver Mining price to stay between its current price of € 0.19  and € 0.28  at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.21 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Santacruz Silver has a beta of 0.22. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Santacruz Silver average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Santacruz Silver Mining will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Santacruz Silver Mining has an alpha of 0.1452, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Santacruz Silver Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Santacruz Silver

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Santacruz Silver Mining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.198.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.178.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.158.09
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.170.200.23
Details

Santacruz Silver Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Santacruz Silver is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Santacruz Silver's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Santacruz Silver Mining, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Santacruz Silver within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.22
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Santacruz Silver Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Santacruz Silver for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Santacruz Silver Mining can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Santacruz Silver had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Santacruz Silver has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Santacruz Silver has accumulated €7.17 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
Santacruz Silver Mining has accumulated 7.17 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 76.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Santacruz Silver Mining has a current ratio of 0.24, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Santacruz Silver until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Santacruz Silver's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Santacruz Silver Mining sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Santacruz to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Santacruz Silver's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 53.33 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.56 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 11.33 M.
Santacruz Silver Mining has accumulated about 36 K in cash with (1.47 M) of positive cash flow from operations.

Santacruz Silver Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Santacruz Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Santacruz Silver's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Santacruz Silver's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding330.2 M

Santacruz Silver Technical Analysis

Santacruz Silver's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Santacruz Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Santacruz Silver Mining. In general, you should focus on analyzing Santacruz Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Santacruz Silver Predictive Forecast Models

Santacruz Silver's time-series forecasting models is one of many Santacruz Silver's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Santacruz Silver's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Santacruz Silver Mining

Checking the ongoing alerts about Santacruz Silver for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Santacruz Silver Mining help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Santacruz Silver had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Santacruz Silver has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Santacruz Silver has accumulated €7.17 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
Santacruz Silver Mining has accumulated 7.17 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 76.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Santacruz Silver Mining has a current ratio of 0.24, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Santacruz Silver until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Santacruz Silver's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Santacruz Silver Mining sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Santacruz to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Santacruz Silver's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 53.33 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.56 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 11.33 M.
Santacruz Silver Mining has accumulated about 36 K in cash with (1.47 M) of positive cash flow from operations.

Other Information on Investing in Santacruz Stock

Santacruz Silver financial ratios help investors to determine whether Santacruz Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Santacruz with respect to the benefits of owning Santacruz Silver security.