STILLFRONT GRP (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.03

1YS0 Stock  EUR 0.63  0.04  6.78%   
STILLFRONT GRP's future price is the expected price of STILLFRONT GRP instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of STILLFRONT GRP AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out STILLFRONT GRP Backtesting, STILLFRONT GRP Valuation, STILLFRONT GRP Correlation, STILLFRONT GRP Hype Analysis, STILLFRONT GRP Volatility, STILLFRONT GRP History as well as STILLFRONT GRP Performance.
  
Please specify STILLFRONT GRP's target price for which you would like STILLFRONT GRP odds to be computed.

STILLFRONT GRP Target Price Odds to finish below 0.03

The tendency of STILLFRONT Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 0.03  or more in 90 days
 0.63 90 days 0.03 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of STILLFRONT GRP to drop to € 0.03  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This STILLFRONT GRP AB probability density function shows the probability of STILLFRONT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of STILLFRONT GRP AB price to stay between € 0.03  and its current price of €0.63 at the end of the 90-day period is about 86.76 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon STILLFRONT GRP AB has a beta of -0.5. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding STILLFRONT GRP are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, STILLFRONT GRP AB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally STILLFRONT GRP AB has an alpha of 0.0445, implying that it can generate a 0.0445 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   STILLFRONT GRP Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for STILLFRONT GRP

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as STILLFRONT GRP AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.634.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.514.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.704.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.540.590.65
Details

STILLFRONT GRP Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. STILLFRONT GRP is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the STILLFRONT GRP's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold STILLFRONT GRP AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of STILLFRONT GRP within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.5
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

STILLFRONT GRP Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of STILLFRONT GRP for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for STILLFRONT GRP AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
STILLFRONT GRP AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
STILLFRONT GRP AB has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
STILLFRONT GRP AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance

STILLFRONT GRP Technical Analysis

STILLFRONT GRP's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. STILLFRONT Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of STILLFRONT GRP AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing STILLFRONT Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

STILLFRONT GRP Predictive Forecast Models

STILLFRONT GRP's time-series forecasting models is one of many STILLFRONT GRP's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary STILLFRONT GRP's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about STILLFRONT GRP AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about STILLFRONT GRP for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for STILLFRONT GRP AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
STILLFRONT GRP AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
STILLFRONT GRP AB has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
STILLFRONT GRP AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance

Other Information on Investing in STILLFRONT Stock

STILLFRONT GRP financial ratios help investors to determine whether STILLFRONT Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in STILLFRONT with respect to the benefits of owning STILLFRONT GRP security.