Quintain Steel (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.68
| 2017 Stock | TWD 11.55 0.05 0.43% |
Quintain |
Quintain Steel Target Price Odds to finish below 11.68
The tendency of Quintain Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under NT$ 11.68 after 90 days |
| 11.55 | 90 days | 11.68 | about 11.03 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Quintain Steel to stay under NT$ 11.68 after 90 days from now is about 11.03 (This Quintain Steel Co probability density function shows the probability of Quintain Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Quintain Steel price to stay between its current price of NT$ 11.55 and NT$ 11.68 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.49 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Quintain Steel has a beta of 0.36. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Quintain Steel average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Quintain Steel Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Quintain Steel Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Quintain Steel Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Quintain Steel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Quintain Steel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Quintain Steel Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Quintain Steel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Quintain Steel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Quintain Steel Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Quintain Steel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.46 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
Quintain Steel Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Quintain Steel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Quintain Steel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Quintain Steel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Quintain Steel Co has accumulated 1.82 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.71, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Quintain Steel has a current ratio of 0.9, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Quintain Steel until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Quintain Steel's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Quintain Steel sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Quintain to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Quintain Steel's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Quintain Steel Co has accumulated about 756.3 M in cash with (265.32 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.18. | |
| Roughly 46.0% of Quintain Steel shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Quintain Steel Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Quintain Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Quintain Steel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Quintain Steel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 325.6 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 2.7 B |
Quintain Steel Technical Analysis
Quintain Steel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Quintain Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Quintain Steel Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Quintain Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Quintain Steel Predictive Forecast Models
Quintain Steel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Quintain Steel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Quintain Steel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Quintain Steel
Checking the ongoing alerts about Quintain Steel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Quintain Steel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Quintain Steel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Quintain Steel Co has accumulated 1.82 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.71, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Quintain Steel has a current ratio of 0.9, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Quintain Steel until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Quintain Steel's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Quintain Steel sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Quintain to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Quintain Steel's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Quintain Steel Co has accumulated about 756.3 M in cash with (265.32 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.18. | |
| Roughly 46.0% of Quintain Steel shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Quintain Stock Analysis
When running Quintain Steel's price analysis, check to measure Quintain Steel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Quintain Steel is operating at the current time. Most of Quintain Steel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Quintain Steel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Quintain Steel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Quintain Steel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.