Wei Chih (Taiwan) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 21.03

2028 Stock   22.75  0.15  0.66%   
Wei Chih's future price is the expected price of Wei Chih instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Wei Chih Steel performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Wei Chih Backtesting, Wei Chih Valuation, Wei Chih Correlation, Wei Chih Hype Analysis, Wei Chih Volatility, Wei Chih History as well as Wei Chih Performance.
  
Please specify Wei Chih's target price for which you would like Wei Chih odds to be computed.

Wei Chih Target Price Odds to finish below 21.03

The tendency of Wei Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  21.03  or more in 90 days
 22.75 90 days 21.03 
about 1.03
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wei Chih to drop to  21.03  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.03 (This Wei Chih Steel probability density function shows the probability of Wei Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wei Chih Steel price to stay between  21.03  and its current price of 22.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.2 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Wei Chih has a beta of 0.4. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Wei Chih average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Wei Chih Steel will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Wei Chih Steel has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Wei Chih Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Wei Chih

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wei Chih Steel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.7522.7524.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.7923.7925.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.3822.3824.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.5423.9426.34
Details

Wei Chih Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wei Chih is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wei Chih's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wei Chih Steel, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wei Chih within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.40
σ
Overall volatility
1.26
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Wei Chih Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wei Chih for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wei Chih Steel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wei Chih Steel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Wei Chih Steel has accumulated 1.53 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 3.9, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Wei Chih Steel has a current ratio of 0.84, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Wei Chih until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Wei Chih's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Wei Chih Steel sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Wei to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Wei Chih's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 67.0% of Wei Chih shares are owned by insiders or employees

Wei Chih Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wei Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wei Chih's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wei Chih's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding325.7 M

Wei Chih Technical Analysis

Wei Chih's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wei Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wei Chih Steel. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wei Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Wei Chih Predictive Forecast Models

Wei Chih's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wei Chih's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wei Chih's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Wei Chih Steel

Checking the ongoing alerts about Wei Chih for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wei Chih Steel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wei Chih Steel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Wei Chih Steel has accumulated 1.53 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 3.9, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Wei Chih Steel has a current ratio of 0.84, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Wei Chih until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Wei Chih's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Wei Chih Steel sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Wei to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Wei Chih's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 67.0% of Wei Chih shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for Wei Stock Analysis

When running Wei Chih's price analysis, check to measure Wei Chih's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wei Chih is operating at the current time. Most of Wei Chih's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wei Chih's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wei Chih's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wei Chih to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.