Dream Security (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3362.96

203650 Stock  KRW 3,270  80.00  2.39%   
Dream Security's future price is the expected price of Dream Security instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Dream Security co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Dream Security Backtesting, Dream Security Valuation, Dream Security Correlation, Dream Security Hype Analysis, Dream Security Volatility, Dream Security History as well as Dream Security Performance.
  
Please specify Dream Security's target price for which you would like Dream Security odds to be computed.

Dream Security Target Price Odds to finish below 3362.96

The tendency of Dream Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under W 3,363  after 90 days
 3,270 90 days 3,363 
about 86.12
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dream Security to stay under W 3,363  after 90 days from now is about 86.12 (This Dream Security co probability density function shows the probability of Dream Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dream Security co price to stay between its current price of W 3,270  and W 3,363  at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.01 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Dream Security has a beta of 0.0173. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Dream Security average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Dream Security co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Dream Security co has an alpha of 0.2703, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Dream Security Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dream Security

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dream Security co. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3,3483,3503,352
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3,2813,2833,685
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Dream Security. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Dream Security's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Dream Security's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Dream Security co.

Dream Security Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dream Security is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dream Security's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dream Security co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dream Security within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
165.90
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Dream Security Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dream Security for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dream Security co can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dream Security co has accumulated 145.58 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.24, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Dream Security co has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Dream Security until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Dream Security's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Dream Security co sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Dream to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Dream Security's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Dream Security co has accumulated about 53.1 B in cash with (2.24 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 842.87.
Roughly 37.0% of Dream Security shares are owned by insiders or employees

Dream Security Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dream Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dream Security's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dream Security's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding50.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments57.5 B

Dream Security Technical Analysis

Dream Security's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dream Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dream Security co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dream Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Dream Security Predictive Forecast Models

Dream Security's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dream Security's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dream Security's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Dream Security co

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dream Security for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dream Security co help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dream Security co has accumulated 145.58 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.24, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Dream Security co has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Dream Security until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Dream Security's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Dream Security co sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Dream to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Dream Security's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Dream Security co has accumulated about 53.1 B in cash with (2.24 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 842.87.
Roughly 37.0% of Dream Security shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Dream Stock

Dream Security financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dream Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dream with respect to the benefits of owning Dream Security security.