National Beverage (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 42.53
| 20V Stock | EUR 45.00 0.60 1.35% |
National |
National Beverage Target Price Odds to finish below 42.53
The tendency of National Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 42.53 or more in 90 days |
| 45.00 | 90 days | 42.53 | about 62.87 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of National Beverage to drop to € 42.53 or more in 90 days from now is about 62.87 (This National Beverage Corp probability density function shows the probability of National Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of National Beverage Corp price to stay between € 42.53 and its current price of €45.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 31.7 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.03 . This suggests National Beverage Corp market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, National Beverage is expected to follow. Additionally National Beverage Corp has an alpha of 0.0391, implying that it can generate a 0.0391 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). National Beverage Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for National Beverage
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as National Beverage Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.National Beverage Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. National Beverage is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the National Beverage's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold National Beverage Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of National Beverage within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.91 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
National Beverage Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of National Beverage for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for National Beverage Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 75.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
National Beverage Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of National Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential National Beverage's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. National Beverage's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 93.3 M |
National Beverage Technical Analysis
National Beverage's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. National Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of National Beverage Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing National Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
National Beverage Predictive Forecast Models
National Beverage's time-series forecasting models is one of many National Beverage's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary National Beverage's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about National Beverage Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about National Beverage for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for National Beverage Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 75.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in National Stock
When determining whether National Beverage Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of National Beverage's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of National Beverage Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on National Beverage Corp Stock:Check out National Beverage Backtesting, National Beverage Valuation, National Beverage Correlation, National Beverage Hype Analysis, National Beverage Volatility, National Beverage History as well as National Beverage Performance. You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.