Echomarketing CoLtd (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9539.18

230360 Stock  KRW 9,620  80.00  0.82%   
Echomarketing CoLtd's future price is the expected price of Echomarketing CoLtd instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Echomarketing CoLtd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Echomarketing CoLtd Backtesting, Echomarketing CoLtd Valuation, Echomarketing CoLtd Correlation, Echomarketing CoLtd Hype Analysis, Echomarketing CoLtd Volatility, Echomarketing CoLtd History as well as Echomarketing CoLtd Performance.
  
Please specify Echomarketing CoLtd's target price for which you would like Echomarketing CoLtd odds to be computed.

Echomarketing CoLtd Target Price Odds to finish below 9539.18

The tendency of Echomarketing Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to W 9,539  or more in 90 days
 9,620 90 days 9,539 
about 1.88
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Echomarketing CoLtd to drop to W 9,539  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.88 (This Echomarketing CoLtd probability density function shows the probability of Echomarketing Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Echomarketing CoLtd price to stay between W 9,539  and its current price of W9620.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.12 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Echomarketing CoLtd has a beta of -0.24. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Echomarketing CoLtd are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Echomarketing CoLtd is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Echomarketing CoLtd has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Echomarketing CoLtd Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Echomarketing CoLtd

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Echomarketing CoLtd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9,6179,6209,623
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8,2298,23210,582
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9,4479,4519,454
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9,5719,6479,722
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Echomarketing CoLtd. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Echomarketing CoLtd's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Echomarketing CoLtd's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Echomarketing CoLtd.

Echomarketing CoLtd Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Echomarketing CoLtd is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Echomarketing CoLtd's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Echomarketing CoLtd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Echomarketing CoLtd within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.24
σ
Overall volatility
411.50
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Echomarketing CoLtd Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Echomarketing CoLtd for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Echomarketing CoLtd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Echomarketing CoLtd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Echomarketing CoLtd has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Echomarketing CoLtd Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Echomarketing Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Echomarketing CoLtd's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Echomarketing CoLtd's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding32.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments97 B

Echomarketing CoLtd Technical Analysis

Echomarketing CoLtd's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Echomarketing Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Echomarketing CoLtd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Echomarketing Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Echomarketing CoLtd Predictive Forecast Models

Echomarketing CoLtd's time-series forecasting models is one of many Echomarketing CoLtd's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Echomarketing CoLtd's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Echomarketing CoLtd

Checking the ongoing alerts about Echomarketing CoLtd for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Echomarketing CoLtd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Echomarketing CoLtd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Echomarketing CoLtd has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Echomarketing Stock

Echomarketing CoLtd financial ratios help investors to determine whether Echomarketing Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Echomarketing with respect to the benefits of owning Echomarketing CoLtd security.