Cosmecca Korea (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 50165.46
| 241710 Stock | KRW 50,300 1,600 3.08% |
Cosmecca |
Cosmecca Korea Target Price Odds to finish below 50165.46
The tendency of Cosmecca Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to W 50,165 or more in 90 days |
| 50,300 | 90 days | 50,165 | about 1.71 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cosmecca Korea to drop to W 50,165 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.71 (This Cosmecca Korea Co probability density function shows the probability of Cosmecca Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cosmecca Korea price to stay between W 50,165 and its current price of W50300.0 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cosmecca Korea Co has a beta of -0.16. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Cosmecca Korea are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Cosmecca Korea Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Cosmecca Korea Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Cosmecca Korea Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Cosmecca Korea
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cosmecca Korea. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cosmecca Korea Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cosmecca Korea is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cosmecca Korea's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cosmecca Korea Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cosmecca Korea within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.68 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 12,141 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
Cosmecca Korea Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cosmecca Korea for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cosmecca Korea can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cosmecca Korea generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Cosmecca Korea has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 49.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Cosmecca Korea Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cosmecca Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cosmecca Korea's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cosmecca Korea's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 30.1 B |
Cosmecca Korea Technical Analysis
Cosmecca Korea's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cosmecca Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cosmecca Korea Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cosmecca Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cosmecca Korea Predictive Forecast Models
Cosmecca Korea's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cosmecca Korea's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cosmecca Korea's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cosmecca Korea
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cosmecca Korea for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cosmecca Korea help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Cosmecca Korea generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Cosmecca Korea has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 49.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Cosmecca Stock
Cosmecca Korea financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cosmecca Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cosmecca with respect to the benefits of owning Cosmecca Korea security.