C Sun (Taiwan) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 212.25

2467 Stock  TWD 199.00  5.00  2.45%   
C Sun's future price is the expected price of C Sun instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of C Sun Manufacturing performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out C Sun Backtesting, C Sun Valuation, C Sun Correlation, C Sun Hype Analysis, C Sun Volatility, C Sun History as well as C Sun Performance.
  
Please specify C Sun's target price for which you would like C Sun odds to be computed.

C Sun Target Price Odds to finish over 212.25

The tendency of 2467 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over NT$ 212.25  or more in 90 days
 199.00 90 days 212.25 
about 74.09
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of C Sun to move over NT$ 212.25  or more in 90 days from now is about 74.09 (This C Sun Manufacturing probability density function shows the probability of 2467 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of C Sun Manufacturing price to stay between its current price of NT$ 199.00  and NT$ 212.25  at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.97 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon C Sun Manufacturing has a beta of -0.27. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding C Sun are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, C Sun Manufacturing is likely to outperform the market. Additionally C Sun Manufacturing has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   C Sun Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for C Sun

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as C Sun Manufacturing. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
195.79199.00202.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
174.03177.24218.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
188.66191.87195.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
194.03213.94233.84
Details

C Sun Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. C Sun is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the C Sun's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold C Sun Manufacturing, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of C Sun within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.27
σ
Overall volatility
11.92
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

C Sun Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of C Sun for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for C Sun Manufacturing can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
C Sun Manufacturing generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
C Sun Manufacturing has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 32.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

C Sun Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 2467 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential C Sun's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. C Sun's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding151.5 M

C Sun Technical Analysis

C Sun's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 2467 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of C Sun Manufacturing. In general, you should focus on analyzing 2467 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

C Sun Predictive Forecast Models

C Sun's time-series forecasting models is one of many C Sun's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary C Sun's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about C Sun Manufacturing

Checking the ongoing alerts about C Sun for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for C Sun Manufacturing help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
C Sun Manufacturing generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
C Sun Manufacturing has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 32.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for 2467 Stock Analysis

When running C Sun's price analysis, check to measure C Sun's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy C Sun is operating at the current time. Most of C Sun's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of C Sun's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move C Sun's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of C Sun to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.