Netmarble Games (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 61600.0
| 251270 Stock | 53,000 1,300 2.51% |
Netmarble |
Netmarble Games Target Price Odds to finish below 61600.0
The tendency of Netmarble Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 61,600 after 90 days |
| 53,000 | 90 days | 61,600 | about 88.55 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Netmarble Games to stay under 61,600 after 90 days from now is about 88.55 (This Netmarble Games Corp probability density function shows the probability of Netmarble Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Netmarble Games Corp price to stay between its current price of 53,000 and 61,600 at the end of the 90-day period is about 70.19 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Netmarble Games Corp has a beta of -0.19. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Netmarble Games are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Netmarble Games Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Netmarble Games Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Netmarble Games Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Netmarble Games
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Netmarble Games Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Netmarble Games Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Netmarble Games is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Netmarble Games' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Netmarble Games Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Netmarble Games within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4,083 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Netmarble Games Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Netmarble Games for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Netmarble Games Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Netmarble Games Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Netmarble Games Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Netmarble Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Netmarble Games' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Netmarble Games' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 81.9 M |
Netmarble Games Technical Analysis
Netmarble Games' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Netmarble Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Netmarble Games Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Netmarble Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Netmarble Games Predictive Forecast Models
Netmarble Games' time-series forecasting models is one of many Netmarble Games' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Netmarble Games' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Netmarble Games Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Netmarble Games for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Netmarble Games Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Netmarble Games Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Netmarble Stock
Netmarble Games financial ratios help investors to determine whether Netmarble Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Netmarble with respect to the benefits of owning Netmarble Games security.