Long Bon (Taiwan) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 15.91
| 2514 Stock | TWD 19.75 0.15 0.77% |
Long |
Long Bon Target Price Odds to finish below 15.91
The tendency of Long Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 15.91 or more in 90 days |
| 19.75 | 90 days | 15.91 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Long Bon to drop to NT$ 15.91 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Long Bon International probability density function shows the probability of Long Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Long Bon International price to stay between NT$ 15.91 and its current price of NT$19.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.27 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Long Bon has a beta of 0.29. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Long Bon average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Long Bon International will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Long Bon International has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Long Bon Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Long Bon
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Long Bon International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Long Bon Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Long Bon is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Long Bon's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Long Bon International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Long Bon within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.79 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Long Bon Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Long Bon for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Long Bon International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Long Bon generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has NT$1.34 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Long Bon Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Long Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Long Bon's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Long Bon's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 358.1 M |
Long Bon Technical Analysis
Long Bon's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Long Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Long Bon International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Long Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Long Bon Predictive Forecast Models
Long Bon's time-series forecasting models is one of many Long Bon's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Long Bon's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Long Bon International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Long Bon for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Long Bon International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Long Bon generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has NT$1.34 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Long Stock Analysis
When running Long Bon's price analysis, check to measure Long Bon's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Long Bon is operating at the current time. Most of Long Bon's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Long Bon's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Long Bon's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Long Bon to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.