Kee Tai (Taiwan) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16.07
| 2538 Stock | TWD 16.15 0.10 0.62% |
Kee |
Kee Tai Target Price Odds to finish below 16.07
The tendency of Kee Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 16.07 or more in 90 days |
| 16.15 | 90 days | 16.07 | about 20.53 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kee Tai to drop to NT$ 16.07 or more in 90 days from now is about 20.53 (This Kee Tai Properties probability density function shows the probability of Kee Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kee Tai Properties price to stay between NT$ 16.07 and its current price of NT$16.15 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.54 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kee Tai has a beta of 0.11. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Kee Tai average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kee Tai Properties will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kee Tai Properties has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Kee Tai Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kee Tai
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kee Tai Properties. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kee Tai Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kee Tai is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kee Tai's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kee Tai Properties, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kee Tai within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.32 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.93 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.31 |
Kee Tai Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kee Tai for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kee Tai Properties can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kee Tai Properties generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Kee Tai Properties has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 254.99 M. Net Loss for the year was (137.07 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 156.16 M. | |
| About 18.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Kee Tai Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kee Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kee Tai's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kee Tai's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 438.4 M |
Kee Tai Technical Analysis
Kee Tai's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kee Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kee Tai Properties. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kee Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kee Tai Predictive Forecast Models
Kee Tai's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kee Tai's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kee Tai's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kee Tai Properties
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kee Tai for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kee Tai Properties help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kee Tai Properties generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Kee Tai Properties has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 254.99 M. Net Loss for the year was (137.07 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 156.16 M. | |
| About 18.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Kee Stock Analysis
When running Kee Tai's price analysis, check to measure Kee Tai's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kee Tai is operating at the current time. Most of Kee Tai's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kee Tai's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kee Tai's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kee Tai to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.