Kedge Construction (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 74.60
| 2546 Stock | TWD 75.30 1.20 1.62% |
Kedge |
Kedge Construction Target Price Odds to finish below 74.60
The tendency of Kedge Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 74.60 or more in 90 days |
| 75.30 | 90 days | 74.60 | about 49.38 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kedge Construction to drop to NT$ 74.60 or more in 90 days from now is about 49.38 (This Kedge Construction Co probability density function shows the probability of Kedge Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kedge Construction price to stay between NT$ 74.60 and its current price of NT$75.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.83 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kedge Construction has a beta of 0.13. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Kedge Construction average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kedge Construction Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kedge Construction Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Kedge Construction Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kedge Construction
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kedge Construction. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kedge Construction Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kedge Construction is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kedge Construction's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kedge Construction Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kedge Construction within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.98 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
Kedge Construction Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kedge Construction for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kedge Construction can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kedge Construction generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Kedge Construction Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kedge Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kedge Construction's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kedge Construction's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 106 M |
Kedge Construction Technical Analysis
Kedge Construction's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kedge Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kedge Construction Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kedge Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kedge Construction Predictive Forecast Models
Kedge Construction's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kedge Construction's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kedge Construction's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kedge Construction
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kedge Construction for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kedge Construction help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kedge Construction generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Kedge Stock Analysis
When running Kedge Construction's price analysis, check to measure Kedge Construction's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kedge Construction is operating at the current time. Most of Kedge Construction's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kedge Construction's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kedge Construction's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kedge Construction to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.