Chinese Maritime (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 37.55
| 2612 Stock | TWD 42.50 0.35 0.83% |
Chinese |
Chinese Maritime Target Price Odds to finish below 37.55
The tendency of Chinese Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 37.55 or more in 90 days |
| 42.50 | 90 days | 37.55 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Chinese Maritime to drop to NT$ 37.55 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Chinese Maritime Transport probability density function shows the probability of Chinese Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Chinese Maritime Tra price to stay between NT$ 37.55 and its current price of NT$42.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.41 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Chinese Maritime has a beta of 0.0103. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Chinese Maritime average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Chinese Maritime Transport will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Chinese Maritime Transport has an alpha of 0.0288, implying that it can generate a 0.0288 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Chinese Maritime Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Chinese Maritime
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chinese Maritime Tra. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Chinese Maritime Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Chinese Maritime is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Chinese Maritime's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Chinese Maritime Transport, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Chinese Maritime within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.97 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Chinese Maritime Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Chinese Maritime for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Chinese Maritime Tra can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Chinese Maritime Tra has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Chinese Maritime Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Chinese Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Chinese Maritime's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chinese Maritime's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 197.5 M |
Chinese Maritime Technical Analysis
Chinese Maritime's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Chinese Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Chinese Maritime Transport. In general, you should focus on analyzing Chinese Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Chinese Maritime Predictive Forecast Models
Chinese Maritime's time-series forecasting models is one of many Chinese Maritime's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Chinese Maritime's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Chinese Maritime Tra
Checking the ongoing alerts about Chinese Maritime for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Chinese Maritime Tra help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Chinese Maritime Tra has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Chinese Stock Analysis
When running Chinese Maritime's price analysis, check to measure Chinese Maritime's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chinese Maritime is operating at the current time. Most of Chinese Maritime's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chinese Maritime's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chinese Maritime's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chinese Maritime to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.