Derkwoo Electronics (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5488.01

263600 Stock   5,630  110.00  1.99%   
Derkwoo Electronics' future price is the expected price of Derkwoo Electronics instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Derkwoo Electronics Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Derkwoo Electronics Backtesting, Derkwoo Electronics Valuation, Derkwoo Electronics Correlation, Derkwoo Electronics Hype Analysis, Derkwoo Electronics Volatility, Derkwoo Electronics History as well as Derkwoo Electronics Performance.
  
Please specify Derkwoo Electronics' target price for which you would like Derkwoo Electronics odds to be computed.

Derkwoo Electronics Target Price Odds to finish below 5488.01

The tendency of Derkwoo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  5,488  or more in 90 days
 5,630 90 days 5,488 
about 7.92
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Derkwoo Electronics to drop to  5,488  or more in 90 days from now is about 7.92 (This Derkwoo Electronics Co probability density function shows the probability of Derkwoo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Derkwoo Electronics price to stay between  5,488  and its current price of 5630.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.13 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Derkwoo Electronics has a beta of 0.12. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Derkwoo Electronics average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Derkwoo Electronics Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Derkwoo Electronics Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Derkwoo Electronics Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Derkwoo Electronics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Derkwoo Electronics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5,6285,6305,632
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4,8194,8226,193
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5,4865,4885,490
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5,1535,8206,488
Details

Derkwoo Electronics Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Derkwoo Electronics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Derkwoo Electronics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Derkwoo Electronics Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Derkwoo Electronics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.12
σ
Overall volatility
379.29
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Derkwoo Electronics Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Derkwoo Electronics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Derkwoo Electronics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Derkwoo Electronics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Derkwoo Electronics Technical Analysis

Derkwoo Electronics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Derkwoo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Derkwoo Electronics Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Derkwoo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Derkwoo Electronics Predictive Forecast Models

Derkwoo Electronics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Derkwoo Electronics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Derkwoo Electronics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Derkwoo Electronics

Checking the ongoing alerts about Derkwoo Electronics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Derkwoo Electronics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Derkwoo Electronics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Derkwoo Stock

Derkwoo Electronics financial ratios help investors to determine whether Derkwoo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Derkwoo with respect to the benefits of owning Derkwoo Electronics security.