Maeil Dairies (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 31962.0
| 267980 Stock | KRW 37,750 150.00 0.40% |
Maeil |
Maeil Dairies Target Price Odds to finish below 31962.0
The tendency of Maeil Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to W 31,962 or more in 90 days |
| 37,750 | 90 days | 31,962 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Maeil Dairies to drop to W 31,962 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Maeil Dairies Co probability density function shows the probability of Maeil Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Maeil Dairies price to stay between W 31,962 and its current price of W37750.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.56 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Maeil Dairies has a beta of 0.0055. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Maeil Dairies average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Maeil Dairies Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Maeil Dairies Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Maeil Dairies Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Maeil Dairies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Maeil Dairies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Maeil Dairies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Maeil Dairies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Maeil Dairies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Maeil Dairies Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Maeil Dairies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 967.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.24 |
Maeil Dairies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Maeil Dairies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Maeil Dairies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Maeil Dairies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Maeil Dairies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Maeil Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Maeil Dairies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Maeil Dairies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 297.8 B |
Maeil Dairies Technical Analysis
Maeil Dairies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Maeil Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Maeil Dairies Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Maeil Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Maeil Dairies Predictive Forecast Models
Maeil Dairies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Maeil Dairies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Maeil Dairies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Maeil Dairies
Checking the ongoing alerts about Maeil Dairies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Maeil Dairies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Maeil Dairies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Maeil Stock
Maeil Dairies financial ratios help investors to determine whether Maeil Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Maeil with respect to the benefits of owning Maeil Dairies security.