Ambassador Hotel (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 55.93
| 2704 Stock | TWD 56.50 0.60 1.05% |
Ambassador |
Ambassador Hotel Target Price Odds to finish below 55.93
The tendency of Ambassador Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 55.93 or more in 90 days |
| 56.50 | 90 days | 55.93 | nearly 4.75 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ambassador Hotel to drop to NT$ 55.93 or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.75 (This Ambassador Hotel probability density function shows the probability of Ambassador Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ambassador Hotel price to stay between NT$ 55.93 and its current price of NT$56.5 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ambassador Hotel has a beta of 0.0375. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Ambassador Hotel average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ambassador Hotel will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ambassador Hotel has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Ambassador Hotel Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ambassador Hotel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ambassador Hotel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ambassador Hotel Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ambassador Hotel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ambassador Hotel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ambassador Hotel, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ambassador Hotel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Ambassador Hotel Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ambassador Hotel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ambassador Hotel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ambassador Hotel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.52 B. Net Loss for the year was (88.62 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 261.87 M. | |
| Ambassador Hotel has accumulated about 3.18 B in cash with (105.32 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.66. | |
| Roughly 57.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Ambassador Hotel Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ambassador Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ambassador Hotel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ambassador Hotel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 366.9 M |
Ambassador Hotel Technical Analysis
Ambassador Hotel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ambassador Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ambassador Hotel. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ambassador Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ambassador Hotel Predictive Forecast Models
Ambassador Hotel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ambassador Hotel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ambassador Hotel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ambassador Hotel
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ambassador Hotel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ambassador Hotel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ambassador Hotel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.52 B. Net Loss for the year was (88.62 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 261.87 M. | |
| Ambassador Hotel has accumulated about 3.18 B in cash with (105.32 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.66. | |
| Roughly 57.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Ambassador Stock Analysis
When running Ambassador Hotel's price analysis, check to measure Ambassador Hotel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ambassador Hotel is operating at the current time. Most of Ambassador Hotel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ambassador Hotel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ambassador Hotel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ambassador Hotel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.