Newtree CoLtd (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5105.19
| 270870 Stock | KRW 5,730 310.00 5.72% |
Newtree |
Newtree CoLtd Target Price Odds to finish over 5105.19
The tendency of Newtree Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above W 5,105 in 90 days |
| 5,730 | 90 days | 5,105 | about 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Newtree CoLtd to stay above W 5,105 in 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This Newtree CoLtd probability density function shows the probability of Newtree Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Newtree CoLtd price to stay between W 5,105 and its current price of W5730.0 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.91 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.26 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Newtree CoLtd will likely underperform. Additionally Newtree CoLtd has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Newtree CoLtd Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Newtree CoLtd
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Newtree CoLtd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Newtree CoLtd Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Newtree CoLtd is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Newtree CoLtd's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Newtree CoLtd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Newtree CoLtd within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.99 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1,799 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
Newtree CoLtd Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Newtree CoLtd for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Newtree CoLtd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Newtree CoLtd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Newtree CoLtd has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Newtree CoLtd Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Newtree Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Newtree CoLtd's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Newtree CoLtd's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.9 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 2.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 64.9 B | |
| Shares Float | 2.8 M |
Newtree CoLtd Technical Analysis
Newtree CoLtd's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Newtree Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Newtree CoLtd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Newtree Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Newtree CoLtd Predictive Forecast Models
Newtree CoLtd's time-series forecasting models is one of many Newtree CoLtd's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Newtree CoLtd's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Newtree CoLtd
Checking the ongoing alerts about Newtree CoLtd for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Newtree CoLtd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Newtree CoLtd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Newtree CoLtd has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Newtree Stock
Newtree CoLtd financial ratios help investors to determine whether Newtree Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Newtree with respect to the benefits of owning Newtree CoLtd security.