Jin Air (Korea) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11130.0

272450 Stock   10,570  70.00  0.66%   
Jin Air's future price is the expected price of Jin Air instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Jin Air Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Jin Air Backtesting, Jin Air Valuation, Jin Air Correlation, Jin Air Hype Analysis, Jin Air Volatility, Jin Air History as well as Jin Air Performance.
  
Please specify Jin Air's target price for which you would like Jin Air odds to be computed.

Jin Air Target Price Odds to finish below 11130.0

The tendency of Jin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  11,130  after 90 days
 10,570 90 days 11,130 
about 81.03
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jin Air to stay under  11,130  after 90 days from now is about 81.03 (This Jin Air Co probability density function shows the probability of Jin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jin Air price to stay between its current price of  10,570  and  11,130  at the end of the 90-day period is about 35.59 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Jin Air has a beta of 0.32. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Jin Air average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Jin Air Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Jin Air Co has an alpha of 0.0218, implying that it can generate a 0.0218 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Jin Air Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Jin Air

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jin Air. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10,63710,64010,643
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8,9468,94911,704
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jin Air. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jin Air's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jin Air's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Jin Air.

Jin Air Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jin Air is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jin Air's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jin Air Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jin Air within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.32
σ
Overall volatility
562.55
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Jin Air Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jin Air for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jin Air can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jin Air had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 247.19 B. Net Loss for the year was (133.58 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 146.17 B.
Jin Air generates negative cash flow from operations
About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Jin Air Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jin Air's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jin Air's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding51.5 M

Jin Air Technical Analysis

Jin Air's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jin Air Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Jin Air Predictive Forecast Models

Jin Air's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jin Air's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jin Air's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Jin Air

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jin Air for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jin Air help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jin Air had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 247.19 B. Net Loss for the year was (133.58 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 146.17 B.
Jin Air generates negative cash flow from operations
About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Jin Stock

Jin Air financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jin Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jin with respect to the benefits of owning Jin Air security.