My Humble (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 55.44

2739 Stock  TWD 50.40  0.30  0.60%   
My Humble's future price is the expected price of My Humble instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of My Humble House performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out My Humble Backtesting, My Humble Valuation, My Humble Correlation, My Humble Hype Analysis, My Humble Volatility, My Humble History as well as My Humble Performance.
  
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My Humble Target Price Odds to finish over 55.44

The tendency of 2739 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over NT$ 55.44  or more in 90 days
 50.40 90 days 55.44 
about 50.59
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of My Humble to move over NT$ 55.44  or more in 90 days from now is about 50.59 (This My Humble House probability density function shows the probability of 2739 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of My Humble House price to stay between its current price of NT$ 50.40  and NT$ 55.44  at the end of the 90-day period is about 46.45 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon My Humble House has a beta of -0.0111. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding My Humble are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, My Humble House is likely to outperform the market. Additionally My Humble House has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   My Humble Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for My Humble

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as My Humble House. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
48.6550.4052.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
45.3661.5763.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
51.5453.2955.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
47.2252.9258.62
Details

My Humble Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. My Humble is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the My Humble's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold My Humble House, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of My Humble within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.01
σ
Overall volatility
2.69
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

My Humble Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of My Humble for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for My Humble House can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
My Humble House generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
My Humble House has accumulated 330.31 M in total debt. My Humble House has a current ratio of 0.33, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist My Humble until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, My Humble's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like My Humble House sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for 2739 to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about My Humble's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 2.33 B. Net Loss for the year was (719.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 188.34 M.
About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

My Humble Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 2739 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential My Humble's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. My Humble's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding111.5 M

My Humble Technical Analysis

My Humble's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 2739 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of My Humble House. In general, you should focus on analyzing 2739 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

My Humble Predictive Forecast Models

My Humble's time-series forecasting models is one of many My Humble's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary My Humble's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about My Humble House

Checking the ongoing alerts about My Humble for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for My Humble House help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
My Humble House generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
My Humble House has accumulated 330.31 M in total debt. My Humble House has a current ratio of 0.33, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist My Humble until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, My Humble's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like My Humble House sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for 2739 to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about My Humble's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 2.33 B. Net Loss for the year was (719.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 188.34 M.
About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for 2739 Stock Analysis

When running My Humble's price analysis, check to measure My Humble's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy My Humble is operating at the current time. Most of My Humble's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of My Humble's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move My Humble's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of My Humble to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.