FDC International (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 59.43
| 2748 Stock | TWD 60.80 1.50 2.53% |
FDC |
FDC International Target Price Odds to finish below 59.43
The tendency of FDC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 59.43 or more in 90 days |
| 60.80 | 90 days | 59.43 | about 59.12 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FDC International to drop to NT$ 59.43 or more in 90 days from now is about 59.12 (This FDC International Hotels probability density function shows the probability of FDC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FDC International Hotels price to stay between NT$ 59.43 and its current price of NT$60.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.17 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon FDC International has a beta of 0.19. This suggests as returns on the market go up, FDC International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding FDC International Hotels will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally FDC International Hotels has an alpha of 0.0628, implying that it can generate a 0.0628 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). FDC International Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for FDC International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FDC International Hotels. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.FDC International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FDC International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FDC International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FDC International Hotels, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FDC International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.49 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
FDC International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FDC International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FDC International Hotels can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| FDC International Hotels has accumulated 1.27 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.77, which is about average as compared to similar companies. FDC International Hotels has a current ratio of 0.2, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist FDC International until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, FDC International's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like FDC International Hotels sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for FDC to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about FDC International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 1.45 B. Net Loss for the year was (29.31 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 257.61 M. | |
| About 73.0% of FDC International shares are owned by insiders or employees |
FDC International Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FDC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FDC International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FDC International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 90.5 M |
FDC International Technical Analysis
FDC International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FDC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FDC International Hotels. In general, you should focus on analyzing FDC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
FDC International Predictive Forecast Models
FDC International's time-series forecasting models is one of many FDC International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FDC International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about FDC International Hotels
Checking the ongoing alerts about FDC International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FDC International Hotels help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| FDC International Hotels has accumulated 1.27 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.77, which is about average as compared to similar companies. FDC International Hotels has a current ratio of 0.2, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist FDC International until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, FDC International's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like FDC International Hotels sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for FDC to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about FDC International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 1.45 B. Net Loss for the year was (29.31 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 257.61 M. | |
| About 73.0% of FDC International shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for FDC Stock Analysis
When running FDC International's price analysis, check to measure FDC International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FDC International is operating at the current time. Most of FDC International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FDC International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FDC International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FDC International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.