SKONEC Entertainment (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2930.75

276040 Stock   3,155  330.00  11.68%   
SKONEC Entertainment's future price is the expected price of SKONEC Entertainment instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SKONEC Entertainment Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SKONEC Entertainment Backtesting, SKONEC Entertainment Valuation, SKONEC Entertainment Correlation, SKONEC Entertainment Hype Analysis, SKONEC Entertainment Volatility, SKONEC Entertainment History as well as SKONEC Entertainment Performance.
  
Please specify SKONEC Entertainment's target price for which you would like SKONEC Entertainment odds to be computed.

SKONEC Entertainment Target Price Odds to finish below 2930.75

The tendency of SKONEC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  2,931  or more in 90 days
 3,155 90 days 2,931 
about 16.56
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SKONEC Entertainment to drop to  2,931  or more in 90 days from now is about 16.56 (This SKONEC Entertainment Co probability density function shows the probability of SKONEC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SKONEC Entertainment price to stay between  2,931  and its current price of 3155.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.03 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SKONEC Entertainment Co has a beta of -0.45. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding SKONEC Entertainment are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, SKONEC Entertainment Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally SKONEC Entertainment Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   SKONEC Entertainment Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SKONEC Entertainment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SKONEC Entertainment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3,1513,1553,159
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,7262,7303,470
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SKONEC Entertainment. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SKONEC Entertainment's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SKONEC Entertainment's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SKONEC Entertainment.

SKONEC Entertainment Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SKONEC Entertainment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SKONEC Entertainment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SKONEC Entertainment Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SKONEC Entertainment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.45
σ
Overall volatility
342.71
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

SKONEC Entertainment Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SKONEC Entertainment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SKONEC Entertainment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SKONEC Entertainment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
SKONEC Entertainment has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 6.11 B. Net Loss for the year was (3.51 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
SKONEC Entertainment Co has accumulated about 1.58 B in cash with (856.35 M) of positive cash flow from operations.

SKONEC Entertainment Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SKONEC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SKONEC Entertainment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SKONEC Entertainment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding12.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.8 B

SKONEC Entertainment Technical Analysis

SKONEC Entertainment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SKONEC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SKONEC Entertainment Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing SKONEC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SKONEC Entertainment Predictive Forecast Models

SKONEC Entertainment's time-series forecasting models is one of many SKONEC Entertainment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SKONEC Entertainment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SKONEC Entertainment

Checking the ongoing alerts about SKONEC Entertainment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SKONEC Entertainment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SKONEC Entertainment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
SKONEC Entertainment has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 6.11 B. Net Loss for the year was (3.51 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
SKONEC Entertainment Co has accumulated about 1.58 B in cash with (856.35 M) of positive cash flow from operations.

Other Information on Investing in SKONEC Stock

SKONEC Entertainment financial ratios help investors to determine whether SKONEC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SKONEC with respect to the benefits of owning SKONEC Entertainment security.