Powercell Sweden (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.45

27W Stock  EUR 3.15  0.11  3.62%   
Powercell Sweden's future price is the expected price of Powercell Sweden instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Powercell Sweden performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Powercell Sweden Backtesting, Powercell Sweden Valuation, Powercell Sweden Correlation, Powercell Sweden Hype Analysis, Powercell Sweden Volatility, Powercell Sweden History as well as Powercell Sweden Performance.
  
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Powercell Sweden Target Price Odds to finish below 3.45

The tendency of Powercell Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under € 3.45  after 90 days
 3.15 90 days 3.45 
about 75.06
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Powercell Sweden to stay under € 3.45  after 90 days from now is about 75.06 (This Powercell Sweden probability density function shows the probability of Powercell Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Powercell Sweden price to stay between its current price of € 3.15  and € 3.45  at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.64 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Powercell Sweden has a beta of -1.09. This suggests Moreover Powercell Sweden has an alpha of 1.0217, implying that it can generate a 1.02 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Powercell Sweden Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Powercell Sweden

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Powercell Sweden. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.163.159.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.132.688.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.063.129.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.853.053.25
Details

Powercell Sweden Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Powercell Sweden is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Powercell Sweden's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Powercell Sweden, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Powercell Sweden within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.53
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Powercell Sweden Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Powercell Sweden for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Powercell Sweden can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Powercell Sweden is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Powercell Sweden appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Powercell Sweden has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 159.76 M. Net Loss for the year was (75.08 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 113.02 M.
Powercell Sweden generates negative cash flow from operations
About 15.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Powercell Sweden Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Powercell Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Powercell Sweden's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Powercell Sweden's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding52.1 M

Powercell Sweden Technical Analysis

Powercell Sweden's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Powercell Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Powercell Sweden. In general, you should focus on analyzing Powercell Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Powercell Sweden Predictive Forecast Models

Powercell Sweden's time-series forecasting models is one of many Powercell Sweden's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Powercell Sweden's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Powercell Sweden

Checking the ongoing alerts about Powercell Sweden for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Powercell Sweden help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Powercell Sweden is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Powercell Sweden appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Powercell Sweden has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 159.76 M. Net Loss for the year was (75.08 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 113.02 M.
Powercell Sweden generates negative cash flow from operations
About 15.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Powercell Stock

Powercell Sweden financial ratios help investors to determine whether Powercell Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Powercell with respect to the benefits of owning Powercell Sweden security.