Kings Town (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 47.82
| 2809 Stock | TWD 50.60 0.30 0.60% |
Kings |
Kings Town Target Price Odds to finish below 47.82
The tendency of Kings Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 47.82 or more in 90 days |
| 50.60 | 90 days | 47.82 | nearly 4.7 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kings Town to drop to NT$ 47.82 or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.7 (This Kings Town Bank probability density function shows the probability of Kings Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kings Town Bank price to stay between NT$ 47.82 and its current price of NT$50.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.76 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kings Town has a beta of 0.0621. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Kings Town average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kings Town Bank will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kings Town Bank has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Kings Town Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kings Town
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kings Town Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kings Town Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kings Town is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kings Town's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kings Town Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kings Town within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.75 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Kings Town Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kings Town for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kings Town Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kings Town Bank generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Kings Town Bank has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Kings Town Bank has accumulated about 53.82 B in cash with (12.24 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 47.16. | |
| Roughly 35.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Kings Town Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kings Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kings Town's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kings Town's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B |
Kings Town Technical Analysis
Kings Town's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kings Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kings Town Bank. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kings Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kings Town Predictive Forecast Models
Kings Town's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kings Town's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kings Town's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kings Town Bank
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kings Town for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kings Town Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kings Town Bank generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Kings Town Bank has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Kings Town Bank has accumulated about 53.82 B in cash with (12.24 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 47.16. | |
| Roughly 35.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Kings Stock Analysis
When running Kings Town's price analysis, check to measure Kings Town's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kings Town is operating at the current time. Most of Kings Town's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kings Town's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kings Town's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kings Town to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.