SK Chemicals (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 49700.0

285130 Stock   42,050  1,750  4.00%   
SK Chemicals' future price is the expected price of SK Chemicals instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SK Chemicals Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SK Chemicals Backtesting, SK Chemicals Valuation, SK Chemicals Correlation, SK Chemicals Hype Analysis, SK Chemicals Volatility, SK Chemicals History as well as SK Chemicals Performance.
  
Please specify SK Chemicals' target price for which you would like SK Chemicals odds to be computed.

SK Chemicals Target Price Odds to finish below 49700.0

The tendency of 285130 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  49,700  after 90 days
 42,050 90 days 49,700 
about 71.51
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SK Chemicals to stay under  49,700  after 90 days from now is about 71.51 (This SK Chemicals Co probability density function shows the probability of 285130 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SK Chemicals price to stay between its current price of  42,050  and  49,700  at the end of the 90-day period is about 68.03 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SK Chemicals Co has a beta of -0.26. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding SK Chemicals are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, SK Chemicals Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally SK Chemicals Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   SK Chemicals Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SK Chemicals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SK Chemicals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
42,04842,05042,052
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
36,90536,90846,255
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
43,90243,90443,906
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
41,24642,65044,054
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SK Chemicals. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SK Chemicals' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SK Chemicals' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SK Chemicals.

SK Chemicals Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SK Chemicals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SK Chemicals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SK Chemicals Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SK Chemicals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.28
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.26
σ
Overall volatility
3,232
Ir
Information ratio -0.23

SK Chemicals Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SK Chemicals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SK Chemicals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SK Chemicals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 42.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

SK Chemicals Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 285130 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SK Chemicals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SK Chemicals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding17.6 M

SK Chemicals Technical Analysis

SK Chemicals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 285130 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SK Chemicals Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing 285130 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SK Chemicals Predictive Forecast Models

SK Chemicals' time-series forecasting models is one of many SK Chemicals' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SK Chemicals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SK Chemicals

Checking the ongoing alerts about SK Chemicals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SK Chemicals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SK Chemicals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 42.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in 285130 Stock

SK Chemicals financial ratios help investors to determine whether 285130 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 285130 with respect to the benefits of owning SK Chemicals security.