Yuanta Financial (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 25.99
| 2885 Stock | TWD 33.25 0.05 0.15% |
Yuanta |
Yuanta Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 25.99
The tendency of Yuanta Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 25.99 or more in 90 days |
| 33.25 | 90 days | 25.99 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Yuanta Financial to drop to NT$ 25.99 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Yuanta Financial Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Yuanta Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Yuanta Financial Holdings price to stay between NT$ 25.99 and its current price of NT$33.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 87.3 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Yuanta Financial has a beta of 0.25. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Yuanta Financial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Yuanta Financial Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Yuanta Financial Holdings has an alpha of 0.0317, implying that it can generate a 0.0317 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Yuanta Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Yuanta Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yuanta Financial Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Yuanta Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Yuanta Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Yuanta Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Yuanta Financial Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Yuanta Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Yuanta Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Yuanta Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Yuanta Financial Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Yuanta Financial has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Yuanta Financial Holdings has accumulated 436.96 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.67, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Yuanta Financial Holdings has a current ratio of 0.73, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Yuanta Financial until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Yuanta Financial's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Yuanta Financial Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Yuanta to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Yuanta Financial's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 19.0% of Yuanta Financial shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Yuanta Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Yuanta Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Yuanta Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Yuanta Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.1 B |
Yuanta Financial Technical Analysis
Yuanta Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Yuanta Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Yuanta Financial Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Yuanta Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Yuanta Financial Predictive Forecast Models
Yuanta Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Yuanta Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Yuanta Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Yuanta Financial Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Yuanta Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Yuanta Financial Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Yuanta Financial has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Yuanta Financial Holdings has accumulated 436.96 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.67, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Yuanta Financial Holdings has a current ratio of 0.73, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Yuanta Financial until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Yuanta Financial's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Yuanta Financial Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Yuanta to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Yuanta Financial's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 19.0% of Yuanta Financial shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Yuanta Stock Analysis
When running Yuanta Financial's price analysis, check to measure Yuanta Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Yuanta Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Yuanta Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Yuanta Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Yuanta Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Yuanta Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.