Kakao Games (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16,450

293490 Stock   17,570  390.00  2.27%   
Kakao Games' future price is the expected price of Kakao Games instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kakao Games Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Kakao Games Backtesting, Kakao Games Valuation, Kakao Games Correlation, Kakao Games Hype Analysis, Kakao Games Volatility, Kakao Games History as well as Kakao Games Performance.
  
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Kakao Games Target Price Odds to finish below 16,450

The tendency of Kakao Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 17,570 90 days 17,570 
about 69.84
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kakao Games to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 69.84 (This Kakao Games Corp probability density function shows the probability of Kakao Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kakao Games Corp has a beta of -0.81. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Kakao Games are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Kakao Games Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Kakao Games Corp has an alpha of 0.1187, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Kakao Games Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kakao Games

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kakao Games Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17,17817,18017,182
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14,35714,36018,898
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17,35917,36117,364
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16,35916,96017,561
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Kakao Games. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Kakao Games' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Kakao Games' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Kakao Games Corp.

Kakao Games Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kakao Games is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kakao Games' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kakao Games Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kakao Games within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.81
σ
Overall volatility
783.83
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Kakao Games Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kakao Games for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kakao Games Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kakao Games Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Kakao Games Technical Analysis

Kakao Games' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kakao Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kakao Games Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kakao Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kakao Games Predictive Forecast Models

Kakao Games' time-series forecasting models is one of many Kakao Games' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kakao Games' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kakao Games Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kakao Games for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kakao Games Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kakao Games Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Kakao Stock

Kakao Games financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kakao Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kakao with respect to the benefits of owning Kakao Games security.