NAU IB (Korea) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 909.0

293580 Stock  KRW 1,175  271.00  29.98%   
NAU IB's future price is the expected price of NAU IB instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of NAU IB Capital performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out NAU IB Backtesting, NAU IB Valuation, NAU IB Correlation, NAU IB Hype Analysis, NAU IB Volatility, NAU IB History as well as NAU IB Performance.
  
Please specify NAU IB's target price for which you would like NAU IB odds to be computed.

NAU IB Target Price Odds to finish below 909.0

The tendency of NAU Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to W 909.00  or more in 90 days
 1,175 90 days 909.00 
about 15.3
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NAU IB to drop to W 909.00  or more in 90 days from now is about 15.3 (This NAU IB Capital probability density function shows the probability of NAU Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NAU IB Capital price to stay between W 909.00  and its current price of W1175.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 84.56 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon NAU IB Capital has a beta of -0.1. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding NAU IB are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, NAU IB Capital is likely to outperform the market. Additionally NAU IB Capital has an alpha of 0.3245, implying that it can generate a 0.32 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   NAU IB Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for NAU IB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NAU IB Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,1701,1751,180
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
918.06922.741,292
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,2221,2271,231
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
768.781,0081,247
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as NAU IB. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against NAU IB's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, NAU IB's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in NAU IB Capital.

NAU IB Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NAU IB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NAU IB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NAU IB Capital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NAU IB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.32
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.1
σ
Overall volatility
47.24
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

NAU IB Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NAU IB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NAU IB Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NAU IB Capital had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
NAU IB Capital has accumulated about 48.06 M in cash with (13.7 B) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 72.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

NAU IB Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NAU Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NAU IB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NAU IB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding9.5 M
Dividends Paid1.4 B
Cash And Short Term Investments48.1 M
Shares Float5.8 M

NAU IB Technical Analysis

NAU IB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NAU Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NAU IB Capital. In general, you should focus on analyzing NAU Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

NAU IB Predictive Forecast Models

NAU IB's time-series forecasting models is one of many NAU IB's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NAU IB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about NAU IB Capital

Checking the ongoing alerts about NAU IB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NAU IB Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NAU IB Capital had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
NAU IB Capital has accumulated about 48.06 M in cash with (13.7 B) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 72.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in NAU Stock

NAU IB financial ratios help investors to determine whether NAU Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NAU with respect to the benefits of owning NAU IB security.