Air Busan (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2330.0

298690 Stock   2,330  20.00  0.85%   
Air Busan's future price is the expected price of Air Busan instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Air Busan Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Air Busan Backtesting, Air Busan Valuation, Air Busan Correlation, Air Busan Hype Analysis, Air Busan Volatility, Air Busan History as well as Air Busan Performance.
  
Please specify Air Busan's target price for which you would like Air Busan odds to be computed.

Air Busan Target Price Odds to finish below 2330.0

The tendency of Air Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 2,330 90 days 2,330 
about 6.93
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Air Busan to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 6.93 (This Air Busan Co probability density function shows the probability of Air Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Air Busan has a beta of 0.28. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Air Busan average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Air Busan Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Air Busan Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Air Busan Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Air Busan

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Air Busan. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,3292,3302,331
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,0262,0272,563
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2,3432,3442,345
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2,2992,3742,449
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Air Busan. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Air Busan's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Air Busan's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Air Busan.

Air Busan Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Air Busan is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Air Busan's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Air Busan Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Air Busan within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.28
σ
Overall volatility
42.93
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Air Busan Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Air Busan for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Air Busan can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Air Busan generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 176.5 B. Net Loss for the year was (265.96 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (159.05 B).
Air Busan generates negative cash flow from operations
About 42.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Air Busan Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Air Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Air Busan's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Air Busan's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding76.6 M

Air Busan Technical Analysis

Air Busan's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Air Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Air Busan Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Air Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Air Busan Predictive Forecast Models

Air Busan's time-series forecasting models is one of many Air Busan's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Air Busan's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Air Busan

Checking the ongoing alerts about Air Busan for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Air Busan help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Air Busan generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 176.5 B. Net Loss for the year was (265.96 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (159.05 B).
Air Busan generates negative cash flow from operations
About 42.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Air Stock

Air Busan financial ratios help investors to determine whether Air Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Air with respect to the benefits of owning Air Busan security.