2G ENERGY (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 21.31
| 2GB Stock | EUR 21.95 0.15 0.69% |
2GB |
2G ENERGY Target Price Odds to finish below 21.31
The tendency of 2GB Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 21.31 or more in 90 days |
| 21.95 | 90 days | 21.31 | about 58.31 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 2G ENERGY to drop to € 21.31 or more in 90 days from now is about 58.31 (This 2G ENERGY probability density function shows the probability of 2GB Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of 2G ENERGY price to stay between € 21.31 and its current price of €21.95 at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.32 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon 2G ENERGY has a beta of 0.17. This suggests as returns on the market go up, 2G ENERGY average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding 2G ENERGY will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally 2G ENERGY has an alpha of 0.0415, implying that it can generate a 0.0415 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). 2G ENERGY Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for 2G ENERGY
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 2G ENERGY. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.2G ENERGY Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 2G ENERGY is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 2G ENERGY's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold 2G ENERGY , one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 2G ENERGY within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
2G ENERGY Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 2GB Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential 2G ENERGY's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. 2G ENERGY's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17.9 M | |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0107 | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 1.9 M |
2G ENERGY Technical Analysis
2G ENERGY's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 2GB Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of 2G ENERGY . In general, you should focus on analyzing 2GB Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
2G ENERGY Predictive Forecast Models
2G ENERGY's time-series forecasting models is one of many 2G ENERGY's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 2G ENERGY's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards 2G ENERGY in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, 2G ENERGY's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from 2G ENERGY options trading.
Additional Tools for 2GB Stock Analysis
When running 2G ENERGY's price analysis, check to measure 2G ENERGY's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy 2G ENERGY is operating at the current time. Most of 2G ENERGY's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of 2G ENERGY's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move 2G ENERGY's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of 2G ENERGY to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.