Kinder Morgan (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 23.38

2KD Stock  EUR 26.49  0.04  0.15%   
Kinder Morgan's future price is the expected price of Kinder Morgan instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kinder Morgan performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Kinder Morgan Backtesting, Kinder Morgan Valuation, Kinder Morgan Correlation, Kinder Morgan Hype Analysis, Kinder Morgan Volatility, Kinder Morgan History as well as Kinder Morgan Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Kinder Stock please use our How to Invest in Kinder Morgan guide.
  
Please specify Kinder Morgan's target price for which you would like Kinder Morgan odds to be computed.

Kinder Morgan Target Price Odds to finish below 23.38

The tendency of Kinder Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 23.38  or more in 90 days
 26.49 90 days 23.38 
about 67.39
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kinder Morgan to drop to € 23.38  or more in 90 days from now is about 67.39 (This Kinder Morgan probability density function shows the probability of Kinder Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kinder Morgan price to stay between € 23.38  and its current price of €26.49 at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.52 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Kinder Morgan has a beta of 0.32. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Kinder Morgan average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kinder Morgan will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kinder Morgan has an alpha of 0.4562, implying that it can generate a 0.46 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Kinder Morgan Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kinder Morgan

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kinder Morgan. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.6326.4928.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.8429.1831.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23.7525.6127.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.0626.7227.38
Details

Kinder Morgan Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kinder Morgan is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kinder Morgan's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kinder Morgan, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kinder Morgan within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.46
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.32
σ
Overall volatility
2.82
Ir
Information ratio 0.20

Kinder Morgan Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kinder Morgan for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kinder Morgan can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kinder Morgan has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Kinder Morgan has accumulated 28.29 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 104.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Kinder Morgan has a current ratio of 0.4, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Kinder Morgan until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Kinder Morgan's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Kinder Morgan sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Kinder to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Kinder Morgan's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 64.0% of Kinder Morgan shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds

Kinder Morgan Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kinder Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kinder Morgan's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kinder Morgan's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.2 B

Kinder Morgan Technical Analysis

Kinder Morgan's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kinder Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kinder Morgan. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kinder Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kinder Morgan Predictive Forecast Models

Kinder Morgan's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kinder Morgan's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kinder Morgan's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kinder Morgan

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kinder Morgan for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kinder Morgan help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kinder Morgan has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Kinder Morgan has accumulated 28.29 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 104.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Kinder Morgan has a current ratio of 0.4, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Kinder Morgan until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Kinder Morgan's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Kinder Morgan sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Kinder to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Kinder Morgan's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 64.0% of Kinder Morgan shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Kinder Stock

When determining whether Kinder Morgan offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Kinder Morgan's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Kinder Morgan Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Kinder Morgan Stock:
Check out Kinder Morgan Backtesting, Kinder Morgan Valuation, Kinder Morgan Correlation, Kinder Morgan Hype Analysis, Kinder Morgan Volatility, Kinder Morgan History as well as Kinder Morgan Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Kinder Stock please use our How to Invest in Kinder Morgan guide.
You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kinder Morgan's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kinder Morgan is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kinder Morgan's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.