Medtronic PLC (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 81.07
| 2M6 Stock | EUR 81.07 0.66 0.81% |
Medtronic |
Medtronic PLC Target Price Odds to finish over 81.07
The tendency of Medtronic Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 81.07 | 90 days | 81.07 | about 54.72 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Medtronic PLC to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 54.72 (This Medtronic PLC probability density function shows the probability of Medtronic Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Medtronic PLC has a beta of -0.39. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Medtronic PLC are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Medtronic PLC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Medtronic PLC has an alpha of 0.0991, implying that it can generate a 0.0991 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Medtronic PLC Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Medtronic PLC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Medtronic PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Medtronic PLC Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Medtronic PLC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Medtronic PLC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Medtronic PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Medtronic PLC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.77 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Medtronic PLC Technical Analysis
Medtronic PLC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Medtronic Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Medtronic PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Medtronic Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Medtronic PLC Predictive Forecast Models
Medtronic PLC's time-series forecasting models is one of many Medtronic PLC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Medtronic PLC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Medtronic PLC in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Medtronic PLC's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Medtronic PLC options trading.
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Medtronic Stock
When determining whether Medtronic PLC is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Medtronic Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Medtronic Plc Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Medtronic Plc Stock:Check out Medtronic PLC Backtesting, Medtronic PLC Valuation, Medtronic PLC Correlation, Medtronic PLC Hype Analysis, Medtronic PLC Volatility, Medtronic PLC History as well as Medtronic PLC Performance. For information on how to trade Medtronic Stock refer to our How to Trade Medtronic Stock guide.You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Medtronic PLC's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Medtronic PLC is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Medtronic PLC's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.