Naturhouse Health (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.76

2NH Stock  EUR 1.63  0.01  0.61%   
Naturhouse Health's future price is the expected price of Naturhouse Health instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Naturhouse Health SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Naturhouse Health Backtesting, Naturhouse Health Valuation, Naturhouse Health Correlation, Naturhouse Health Hype Analysis, Naturhouse Health Volatility, Naturhouse Health History as well as Naturhouse Health Performance.
  
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Naturhouse Health Target Price Odds to finish over 2.76

The tendency of Naturhouse Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 2.76  or more in 90 days
 1.63 90 days 2.76 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Naturhouse Health to move over € 2.76  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Naturhouse Health SA probability density function shows the probability of Naturhouse Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Naturhouse Health price to stay between its current price of € 1.63  and € 2.76  at the end of the 90-day period is about 50.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Naturhouse Health has a beta of 0.0914. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Naturhouse Health average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Naturhouse Health SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Naturhouse Health SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Naturhouse Health Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Naturhouse Health

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Naturhouse Health. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.511.642.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.501.632.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.521.642.77
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.611.631.65
Details

Naturhouse Health Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Naturhouse Health is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Naturhouse Health's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Naturhouse Health SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Naturhouse Health within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

Naturhouse Health Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Naturhouse Health for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Naturhouse Health can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Naturhouse Health generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Naturhouse Health may become a speculative penny stock
About 78.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Naturhouse Health Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Naturhouse Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Naturhouse Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Naturhouse Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding59.9 M

Naturhouse Health Technical Analysis

Naturhouse Health's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Naturhouse Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Naturhouse Health SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Naturhouse Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Naturhouse Health Predictive Forecast Models

Naturhouse Health's time-series forecasting models is one of many Naturhouse Health's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Naturhouse Health's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Naturhouse Health

Checking the ongoing alerts about Naturhouse Health for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Naturhouse Health help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Naturhouse Health generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Naturhouse Health may become a speculative penny stock
About 78.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Naturhouse Stock

Naturhouse Health financial ratios help investors to determine whether Naturhouse Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Naturhouse with respect to the benefits of owning Naturhouse Health security.