NN Group (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 41.38

2NN Stock  EUR 42.74  0.06  0.14%   
NN Group's future price is the expected price of NN Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of NN Group NV performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out NN Group Backtesting, NN Group Valuation, NN Group Correlation, NN Group Hype Analysis, NN Group Volatility, NN Group History as well as NN Group Performance.
  
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NN Group Target Price Odds to finish below 41.38

The tendency of 2NN Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 41.38  or more in 90 days
 42.74 90 days 41.38 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NN Group to drop to € 41.38  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This NN Group NV probability density function shows the probability of 2NN Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NN Group NV price to stay between € 41.38  and its current price of €42.74 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.76 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon NN Group NV has a beta of -0.25. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding NN Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, NN Group NV is likely to outperform the market. Additionally NN Group NV has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   NN Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for NN Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NN Group NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
41.8142.7443.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35.7536.6847.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
41.5242.4543.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
42.4944.7647.03
Details

NN Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NN Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NN Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NN Group NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NN Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.25
σ
Overall volatility
0.99
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

NN Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NN Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NN Group NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NN Group NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
NN Group NV has accumulated about 13.72 B in cash with (2.59 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 44.26, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 64.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds

NN Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 2NN Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NN Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NN Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding305.6 M

NN Group Technical Analysis

NN Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 2NN Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NN Group NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing 2NN Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

NN Group Predictive Forecast Models

NN Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many NN Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NN Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about NN Group NV

Checking the ongoing alerts about NN Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NN Group NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NN Group NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
NN Group NV has accumulated about 13.72 B in cash with (2.59 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 44.26, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 64.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds

Other Information on Investing in 2NN Stock

NN Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether 2NN Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 2NN with respect to the benefits of owning NN Group security.