Townsquare Media (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.21
| 2T8 Stock | EUR 9.25 0.10 1.07% |
Townsquare |
Townsquare Media Target Price Odds to finish below 4.21
The tendency of Townsquare Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 4.21 or more in 90 days |
| 9.25 | 90 days | 4.21 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Townsquare Media to drop to € 4.21 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Townsquare Media probability density function shows the probability of Townsquare Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Townsquare Media price to stay between € 4.21 and its current price of €9.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 70.32 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Townsquare Media has a beta of 0.058. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Townsquare Media average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Townsquare Media will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Townsquare Media has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Townsquare Media Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Townsquare Media
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Townsquare Media. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Townsquare Media Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Townsquare Media is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Townsquare Media's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Townsquare Media, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Townsquare Media within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0095 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Townsquare Media Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Townsquare Media for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Townsquare Media can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Townsquare Media has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Townsquare Media Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Townsquare Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Townsquare Media's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Townsquare Media's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.9 M |
Townsquare Media Technical Analysis
Townsquare Media's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Townsquare Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Townsquare Media. In general, you should focus on analyzing Townsquare Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Townsquare Media Predictive Forecast Models
Townsquare Media's time-series forecasting models is one of many Townsquare Media's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Townsquare Media's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Townsquare Media
Checking the ongoing alerts about Townsquare Media for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Townsquare Media help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Townsquare Media has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Townsquare Stock
When determining whether Townsquare Media is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Townsquare Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Townsquare Media Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Townsquare Media Stock:Check out Townsquare Media Backtesting, Townsquare Media Valuation, Townsquare Media Correlation, Townsquare Media Hype Analysis, Townsquare Media Volatility, Townsquare Media History as well as Townsquare Media Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Townsquare Stock please use our How to Invest in Townsquare Media guide.You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.