Hithink RoyalFlush (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 279.59

300033 Stock   284.21  3.51  1.25%   
Hithink RoyalFlush's future price is the expected price of Hithink RoyalFlush instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Hithink RoyalFlush Info performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Hithink RoyalFlush Backtesting, Hithink RoyalFlush Valuation, Hithink RoyalFlush Correlation, Hithink RoyalFlush Hype Analysis, Hithink RoyalFlush Volatility, Hithink RoyalFlush History as well as Hithink RoyalFlush Performance.
  
Please specify Hithink RoyalFlush's target price for which you would like Hithink RoyalFlush odds to be computed.

Hithink RoyalFlush Target Price Odds to finish over 279.59

The tendency of Hithink Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  279.59  in 90 days
 284.21 90 days 279.59 
about 10.1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hithink RoyalFlush to stay above  279.59  in 90 days from now is about 10.1 (This Hithink RoyalFlush Info probability density function shows the probability of Hithink Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hithink RoyalFlush Info price to stay between  279.59  and its current price of 284.21 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.01 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hithink RoyalFlush Info has a beta of -0.0674. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Hithink RoyalFlush are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Hithink RoyalFlush Info is likely to outperform the market. Moreover Hithink RoyalFlush Info has an alpha of 1.8148, implying that it can generate a 1.81 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Hithink RoyalFlush Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hithink RoyalFlush

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hithink RoyalFlush Info. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
276.55284.21291.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
240.09247.75312.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
242.23249.89257.55
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.230.230.23
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hithink RoyalFlush. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hithink RoyalFlush's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hithink RoyalFlush's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hithink RoyalFlush Info.

Hithink RoyalFlush Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hithink RoyalFlush is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hithink RoyalFlush's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hithink RoyalFlush Info, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hithink RoyalFlush within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.81
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.07
σ
Overall volatility
77.78
Ir
Information ratio 0.23

Hithink RoyalFlush Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hithink RoyalFlush for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hithink RoyalFlush Info can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hithink RoyalFlush is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Hithink RoyalFlush appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 66.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Hithink RoyalFlush Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hithink Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hithink RoyalFlush's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hithink RoyalFlush's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding537.6 M

Hithink RoyalFlush Technical Analysis

Hithink RoyalFlush's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hithink Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hithink RoyalFlush Info. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hithink Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Hithink RoyalFlush Predictive Forecast Models

Hithink RoyalFlush's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hithink RoyalFlush's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hithink RoyalFlush's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Hithink RoyalFlush Info

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hithink RoyalFlush for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hithink RoyalFlush Info help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hithink RoyalFlush is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Hithink RoyalFlush appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 66.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Hithink Stock

Hithink RoyalFlush financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hithink Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hithink with respect to the benefits of owning Hithink RoyalFlush security.