East Money (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 32.54

300059 Stock   25.90  1.49  5.44%   
East Money's future price is the expected price of East Money instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of East Money Information performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out East Money Backtesting, East Money Valuation, East Money Correlation, East Money Hype Analysis, East Money Volatility, East Money History as well as East Money Performance.
  
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East Money Target Price Odds to finish over 32.54

The tendency of East Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  32.54  or more in 90 days
 25.90 90 days 32.54 
about 1.99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of East Money to move over  32.54  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.99 (This East Money Information probability density function shows the probability of East Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of East Money Information price to stay between its current price of  25.90  and  32.54  at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.2 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon East Money Information has a beta of -0.49. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding East Money are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, East Money Information is likely to outperform the market. Moreover East Money Information has an alpha of 1.5924, implying that it can generate a 1.59 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   East Money Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for East Money

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as East Money Information. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.2227.8634.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.0919.7326.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.3525.9932.63
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.120.130.13
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as East Money. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against East Money's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, East Money's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in East Money Information.

East Money Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. East Money is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the East Money's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold East Money Information, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of East Money within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.59
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.49
σ
Overall volatility
7.08
Ir
Information ratio 0.22

East Money Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of East Money for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for East Money Information can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
East Money is way too risky over 90 days horizon
East Money appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
East Money is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
East Money generates negative cash flow from operations
About 26.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: What East Money Information Co.,Ltd.s 35 percent Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You - Simply Wall St

East Money Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of East Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential East Money's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. East Money's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding15.9 B

East Money Technical Analysis

East Money's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. East Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of East Money Information. In general, you should focus on analyzing East Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

East Money Predictive Forecast Models

East Money's time-series forecasting models is one of many East Money's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary East Money's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about East Money Information

Checking the ongoing alerts about East Money for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for East Money Information help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
East Money is way too risky over 90 days horizon
East Money appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
East Money is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
East Money generates negative cash flow from operations
About 26.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: What East Money Information Co.,Ltd.s 35 percent Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You - Simply Wall St

Other Information on Investing in East Stock

East Money financial ratios help investors to determine whether East Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in East with respect to the benefits of owning East Money security.