Shenzhen Inovance (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 72.84
| 300124 Stock | 59.39 0.69 1.15% |
Shenzhen |
Shenzhen Inovance Target Price Odds to finish over 72.84
The tendency of Shenzhen Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 72.84 or more in 90 days |
| 59.39 | 90 days | 72.84 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Shenzhen Inovance to move over 72.84 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Shenzhen Inovance Tech probability density function shows the probability of Shenzhen Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Shenzhen Inovance Tech price to stay between its current price of 59.39 and 72.84 at the end of the 90-day period is about 44.35 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Shenzhen Inovance has a beta of 0.068. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Shenzhen Inovance average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Shenzhen Inovance Tech will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Shenzhen Inovance Tech has an alpha of 0.5372, implying that it can generate a 0.54 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Shenzhen Inovance Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Shenzhen Inovance
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shenzhen Inovance Tech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Shenzhen Inovance Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Shenzhen Inovance is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Shenzhen Inovance's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Shenzhen Inovance Tech, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Shenzhen Inovance within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.54 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Shenzhen Inovance Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Shenzhen Inovance for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Shenzhen Inovance Tech can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Shenzhen Inovance generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Shenzhen Inovance has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Shenzhen Inovance is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 44.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Shenzhen Inovance TechnologyLtd Eyes Growth with New Energy Vehicles and Global Expansion - Simply Wall St |
Shenzhen Inovance Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Shenzhen Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Shenzhen Inovance's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shenzhen Inovance's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.7 B |
Shenzhen Inovance Technical Analysis
Shenzhen Inovance's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Shenzhen Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Shenzhen Inovance Tech. In general, you should focus on analyzing Shenzhen Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Shenzhen Inovance Predictive Forecast Models
Shenzhen Inovance's time-series forecasting models is one of many Shenzhen Inovance's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Shenzhen Inovance's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Shenzhen Inovance Tech
Checking the ongoing alerts about Shenzhen Inovance for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Shenzhen Inovance Tech help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Shenzhen Inovance generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Shenzhen Inovance has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Shenzhen Inovance is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 44.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Shenzhen Inovance TechnologyLtd Eyes Growth with New Energy Vehicles and Global Expansion - Simply Wall St |
Other Information on Investing in Shenzhen Stock
Shenzhen Inovance financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shenzhen Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shenzhen with respect to the benefits of owning Shenzhen Inovance security.