INKON Life (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 16.03
| 300143 Stock | 10.03 0.17 1.72% |
INKON |
INKON Life Target Price Odds to finish over 16.03
The tendency of INKON Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 16.03 or more in 90 days |
| 10.03 | 90 days | 16.03 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of INKON Life to move over 16.03 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This INKON Life Technology probability density function shows the probability of INKON Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of INKON Life Technology price to stay between its current price of 10.03 and 16.03 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.78 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon INKON Life Technology has a beta of -0.2. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding INKON Life are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, INKON Life Technology is likely to outperform the market. Additionally INKON Life Technology has an alpha of 0.6301, implying that it can generate a 0.63 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). INKON Life Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for INKON Life
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as INKON Life Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.INKON Life Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. INKON Life is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the INKON Life's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold INKON Life Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of INKON Life within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.63 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
INKON Life Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of INKON Life for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for INKON Life Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| INKON Life is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| INKON Life appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| INKON Life is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 43.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
INKON Life Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of INKON Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential INKON Life's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. INKON Life's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 642.2 M |
INKON Life Technical Analysis
INKON Life's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. INKON Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of INKON Life Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing INKON Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
INKON Life Predictive Forecast Models
INKON Life's time-series forecasting models is one of many INKON Life's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary INKON Life's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about INKON Life Technology
Checking the ongoing alerts about INKON Life for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for INKON Life Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| INKON Life is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| INKON Life appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| INKON Life is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 43.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in INKON Stock
INKON Life financial ratios help investors to determine whether INKON Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in INKON with respect to the benefits of owning INKON Life security.