By Health (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8.83

300146 Stock   12.40  0.53  4.10%   
By Health's future price is the expected price of By Health instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of By health performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out By Health Backtesting, By Health Valuation, By Health Correlation, By Health Hype Analysis, By Health Volatility, By Health History as well as By Health Performance.
  
Please specify By Health's target price for which you would like By Health odds to be computed.

By Health Target Price Odds to finish below 8.83

The tendency of 300146 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  8.83  or more in 90 days
 12.40 90 days 8.83 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of By Health to drop to  8.83  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This By health probability density function shows the probability of 300146 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of By health price to stay between  8.83  and its current price of 12.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 54.88 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon By health has a beta of -0.8. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding By Health are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, By health is likely to outperform the market. Additionally By health has an alpha of 0.2797, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   By Health Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for By Health

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as By health. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.8312.4416.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.2210.8314.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.9912.6016.21
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.100.120.13
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as By Health. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against By Health's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, By Health's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in By health.

By Health Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. By Health is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the By Health's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold By health, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of By Health within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.28
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.8
σ
Overall volatility
1.23
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

By Health Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of By Health for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for By health can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
By health had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
By health is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 49.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Guardant Health Stock Focused On Future Growth, Hold - Seeking Alpha

By Health Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 300146 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential By Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. By Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.7 B

By Health Technical Analysis

By Health's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 300146 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of By health. In general, you should focus on analyzing 300146 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

By Health Predictive Forecast Models

By Health's time-series forecasting models is one of many By Health's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary By Health's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about By health

Checking the ongoing alerts about By Health for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for By health help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
By health had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
By health is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 49.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Guardant Health Stock Focused On Future Growth, Hold - Seeking Alpha

Other Information on Investing in 300146 Stock

By Health financial ratios help investors to determine whether 300146 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 300146 with respect to the benefits of owning By Health security.