Wonders Information (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 6.45

300168 Stock   9.19  0.56  6.49%   
Wonders Information's future price is the expected price of Wonders Information instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Wonders Information performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Wonders Information Backtesting, Wonders Information Valuation, Wonders Information Correlation, Wonders Information Hype Analysis, Wonders Information Volatility, Wonders Information History as well as Wonders Information Performance.
  
Please specify Wonders Information's target price for which you would like Wonders Information odds to be computed.

Wonders Information Target Price Odds to finish over 6.45

The tendency of Wonders Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  6.45  in 90 days
 9.19 90 days 6.45 
about 56.66
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wonders Information to stay above  6.45  in 90 days from now is about 56.66 (This Wonders Information probability density function shows the probability of Wonders Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wonders Information price to stay between  6.45  and its current price of 9.19 at the end of the 90-day period is about 51.18 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Wonders Information has a beta of 0.17. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Wonders Information average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Wonders Information will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Wonders Information has an alpha of 0.9393, implying that it can generate a 0.94 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Wonders Information Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Wonders Information

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wonders Information. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.408.2514.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.826.6712.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.119.9615.80
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.070.070.07
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Wonders Information. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Wonders Information's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Wonders Information's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Wonders Information.

Wonders Information Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wonders Information is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wonders Information's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wonders Information, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wonders Information within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.94
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.17
σ
Overall volatility
1.55
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Wonders Information Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wonders Information for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wonders Information can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wonders Information is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Wonders Information appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 2.46 B. Net Loss for the year was (898.57 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.18 B.
Wonders Information generates negative cash flow from operations
About 21.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Investors in Wonders Information from five years ago are still down 47, even after 5.8 percent gain this past week - Simply Wall St

Wonders Information Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wonders Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wonders Information's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wonders Information's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.4 B
Cash And Short Term Investments1.6 B

Wonders Information Technical Analysis

Wonders Information's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wonders Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wonders Information. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wonders Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Wonders Information Predictive Forecast Models

Wonders Information's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wonders Information's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wonders Information's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Wonders Information

Checking the ongoing alerts about Wonders Information for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wonders Information help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wonders Information is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Wonders Information appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 2.46 B. Net Loss for the year was (898.57 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.18 B.
Wonders Information generates negative cash flow from operations
About 21.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Investors in Wonders Information from five years ago are still down 47, even after 5.8 percent gain this past week - Simply Wall St

Other Information on Investing in Wonders Stock

Wonders Information financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wonders Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wonders with respect to the benefits of owning Wonders Information security.