Focused Photonics (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.03
| 300203 Stock | 17.49 0.58 3.43% |
Focused |
Focused Photonics Target Price Odds to finish below 10.03
The tendency of Focused Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 10.03 or more in 90 days |
| 17.49 | 90 days | 10.03 | about 6.6 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Focused Photonics to drop to 10.03 or more in 90 days from now is about 6.6 (This Focused Photonics Hangzhou probability density function shows the probability of Focused Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Focused Photonics price to stay between 10.03 and its current price of 17.49 at the end of the 90-day period is about 70.27 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Focused Photonics Hangzhou has a beta of -0.52. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Focused Photonics are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Focused Photonics Hangzhou is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Focused Photonics Hangzhou has an alpha of 0.8235, implying that it can generate a 0.82 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Focused Photonics Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Focused Photonics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Focused Photonics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Focused Photonics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Focused Photonics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Focused Photonics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Focused Photonics Hangzhou, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Focused Photonics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.82 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.52 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.33 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Focused Photonics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Focused Photonics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Focused Photonics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Focused Photonics appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 3.18 B. Net Loss for the year was (322.65 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.29 B. | |
| About 36.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Focused Photonics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Focused Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Focused Photonics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Focused Photonics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 448.7 M |
Focused Photonics Technical Analysis
Focused Photonics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Focused Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Focused Photonics Hangzhou. In general, you should focus on analyzing Focused Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Focused Photonics Predictive Forecast Models
Focused Photonics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Focused Photonics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Focused Photonics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Focused Photonics
Checking the ongoing alerts about Focused Photonics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Focused Photonics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Focused Photonics appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 3.18 B. Net Loss for the year was (322.65 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.29 B. | |
| About 36.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Focused Stock
Focused Photonics financial ratios help investors to determine whether Focused Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Focused with respect to the benefits of owning Focused Photonics security.