Sungrow Power (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 103.35

300274 Stock   78.51  0.26  0.33%   
Sungrow Power's future price is the expected price of Sungrow Power instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sungrow Power Supply performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sungrow Power Backtesting, Sungrow Power Valuation, Sungrow Power Correlation, Sungrow Power Hype Analysis, Sungrow Power Volatility, Sungrow Power History as well as Sungrow Power Performance.
  
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Sungrow Power Target Price Odds to finish over 103.35

The tendency of Sungrow Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  103.35  or more in 90 days
 78.51 90 days 103.35 
about 1.79
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sungrow Power to move over  103.35  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.79 (This Sungrow Power Supply probability density function shows the probability of Sungrow Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sungrow Power Supply price to stay between its current price of  78.51  and  103.35  at the end of the 90-day period is about 78.29 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sungrow Power Supply has a beta of -0.29. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sungrow Power are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sungrow Power Supply is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sungrow Power Supply has an alpha of 0.1647, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sungrow Power Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sungrow Power

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sungrow Power Supply. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
73.2778.4483.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
68.7173.8879.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
70.4175.5880.74
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.231.361.59
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sungrow Power. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sungrow Power's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sungrow Power's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sungrow Power Supply.

Sungrow Power Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sungrow Power is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sungrow Power's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sungrow Power Supply, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sungrow Power within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.29
σ
Overall volatility
8.44
Ir
Information ratio 0

Sungrow Power Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sungrow Power for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sungrow Power Supply can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sungrow Power Supply had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Sungrow Power Supply is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 35.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Sungrow Power Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sungrow Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sungrow Power's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sungrow Power's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.1 B

Sungrow Power Technical Analysis

Sungrow Power's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sungrow Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sungrow Power Supply. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sungrow Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sungrow Power Predictive Forecast Models

Sungrow Power's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sungrow Power's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sungrow Power's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sungrow Power Supply

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sungrow Power for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sungrow Power Supply help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sungrow Power Supply had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Sungrow Power Supply is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 35.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Sungrow Stock

Sungrow Power financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sungrow Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sungrow with respect to the benefits of owning Sungrow Power security.